The hotel market 2008/09

1. Overnight stays in Düsseldorf

2008 was an extremely successful year for the Düsseldorf hotel industry. The number of overnight stays rose by 10.4 % to 3.36 million. This is the second time the industry has topped the 3 million mark.

The City of Düsseldorf experienced the highest level of increase of any of the “Magic Cities of Germany” – a ranking of the ten German cities with the highest occupancy rates – and is now ranked 6th in terms of total overnight stays compared with 7th in the previous year. Since 2003, the volume of overnight stays in Düsseldorf has increased by an impressive 46.3 %. This growth has of course had a positive influence on the number of jobs available: during the same period, employment figures experienced an increase of 35.3 % to 3,660 people working in the accommodation sector.

Again more trade fair visitors

One reason for this positive development was the large number of trade fair visitors. At around 1.96 million, their number topped the previous year’s result of 1.42 million by 38 %. The increase can be traced to the city’s large offer of world-leading trade shows – including ‘drupa’, the platform for the world’s printing industry, ‘interpack’ for the packaging sector and the ‘wire’ and ‘Tube’ events. DüsseldorfCongress Veranstaltungsgesellschaft mbH, operator of various big venues such as the Congress Centre on the trade fair grounds, the Esprit Arena, the ISS Dome and Philipshalle, was able to catch up with its excellent previous year’s results, reporting visitor numbers of around 1.8 million.

Image: Breidenbacher Hof hotel, city centre

Slight increase in foreign visitors

The proportion of overnight stays made by foreign visitors rose by about 1 % to approximately 41%. This was mainly down to the increased number of trade fair visitors and means that the city’s hotel market remains firmly in third place, behind Munich and Frankfurt. The greatest growth in 2008 was again seen in travellers from Russia (+21.9 %) and the Arab Gulf states (+19.6 %), but guest volumes from Switzerland (+25.4 %) and the United Kingdom (+14.1 %) also increased significantly. As in the previous year, part of the influx of visitors from Russia and the Gulf Region can be attributed to the increasing demand for shopping travel, as well as growing medical tourism. Düsseldorf’s hospitals and clinics are reporting an annual rise of up to 12 % in the number of foreign patients. While the majority of overnight stays continue to be made in business travel (70 %), a strong 30 % is made up of leisure travellers.

2. The hotel market

Hotels grow their capacity

The rapid expansion of hotel capacities between 2001 and 2007, which saw the number of available beds rise by around 5,400 (a capacity increase of 26 %), has continued in 2008. Two new hotels were built: the Innside Premium Hotel (160 rooms, 4-star rating) on Derendorfer Allee and the Breidenbacher Hof – the new flagship of the Düsseldorf hotel sector with 95 rooms and a 5-star+ rating – on Königsallee. Taken together with a number of shifts in existing capacities – closures, reopenings and slight expansions of capacity – the number of beds increased by 3.1 % to 21,900 compared with last year’s 3.7 % rise. The number of hotels has remained almost unchanged, rising slightly from 217 to 219.

Image: Maritim Hotel Düsseldorf

Against this backdrop, the city’s bed occupancy rate rose by 0.1 % to 42.6 %, while the B&B sector even saw an increase of 3.7 % to 45.3 %. As the latter segment still has a high proportion of private operators, their businesses are likely to have benefited particularly from the uneven development across the various accommodation categories.

A positive picture emerges if we look at room occupancy – a more meaningful indicator given Düsseldorf’s visitor structure, which reflects the large proportion of solitary travellers among business and trade fair visitors. Room occupancy rose by 3.9 % to 66.8 % in the first six months of 2008. This explains the city’s excellent average room price of 133 euros (+42 %) and room yields – the product of the average room rate and utilisation – of 89 euros (+53 %). Düsseldorf has achieved the highest values of any comparable city, both in absolute terms and in growth.

  • 3.1 % capacity growth in 2008
  • Steady bed occupancy rate, at 42.6 %
  • Room occupancy rose by 3.9 % to 66.8 %

New construction planned in the medium term

Ten new hotels are planned for the short and middle terms, while 2009 saw the opening of 2 new hotels. This included the conversion of a former office building on Corneliusstraße into an “A&O Hotel Hostel”, owned and operated by the Berlin-based A&O hotel group and featuring 154 hotel rooms and 18 hostel rooms. The 214-room Mövenpick Hotel am Hofgarten – completed at the beginning of the year, but not yet opened – has now been taken over by the Spanish Maliá Group and is set for an autumn opening. This will produce a 3.5 % increase in overnight capacity in 2009, regardless of the development in existing hotel operations. The other openings planned for this year have all now been postponed to 2010 or later.

  • Two new hotels built in 2009
  • Capacity growth of 3.5 %

Number of guests

The market has unmistakeably responded to the 2008 forecasts, which predicted a downturn in overnight stays in the first half of 2009, especially in the foreign visitor segment. As a consequence, the bed occupancy rate was 38.8 % while room occupancy amounted to 56 %. Last year’s high prices were reduced. Two overlapping factors were responsible for this development: on the one hand, 2009 is a year with fewer trade fairs; with the exceptions of ‘boot’ and ‘Medica’, no leading trade fairs are scheduled. The second is the worldwide finance and economic crisis, which has had a global effect on a number of industries and, in turn, has led to a sharp decline in national and international business travel. An upturn is expected from 2010 onwards, when Düsseldorf will host a number of major trade shows including ‘K’, the world’s largest plastics fair, and ‘interpack’ in the following year. Yet one should not overlook the fact that, even if the drop in overnight stays remains at a low level throughout the entire year, Düsseldorf will still be able to match the excellent figures achieved in 2007, considered a highly successful year for tourism. Whether reductions in household incomes caused by the crisis has affected leisure travel, and to what extent, will only become clear at the end of this year.

Image: Innside Premium Hotel, Düsseldorf-Derendorf

Destination for hotel investments

Much of the bleak atmosphere currently observable in global accommodation markets is a temporary, cyclic phenomenon that will not affect the long-term behaviour of investors, who are viewing markets over the entire lifecycle of their investment. Two fundamental determinants of the Düsseldorf hotel market – the stiff competition arising from capacity increases and the dependency on trade fair cycles – are likely to remain unchanged in the future. Along with the city’s positive overall growth, the level of business travel is expected to pick up again, as will the number of conventions and industry meetings. As the airport takes on ever greater importance as an international transport hub, the number of air passengers will continue to climb at a steady pace. Following record results in 2008 (18.15 million), the 6 % drop in passenger volume experienced this year was much more favourable than the losses suffered by most competitors. Düsseldorf’s appeal to leisure travellers will also continue to increase. Over the long term, Düsseldorf will retain its appeal for investors looking to invest in existing hotels or new construction projects. A recent survey of German and foreign hotel investors carried out by Dr. Lübke GmbH concluded that Düsseldorf has retained its third place on the list of preferred investment locations within Germany.

 
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